Iranian Minister of Foreign Affairs, Mohammad Javid Zarif warned President Trump on Saturday that the Israelis are planning covert flase flag attacks on US bases located in Syria and Iraq. Zarif says the attacks will be intended to provoke a war between the United States and the Republic of Iran. The government in Teheran is currently involved in developing its nuclear arsenal as it seeks for obtaining an effective deterrent capable of disuading potential US military actions against Iran. Since the United States withdrawal from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) in 2018, tensions between the two states have had a serious impact on the situation in the Middle East.
Warnings from Teheran appear to be a combination of conspiracy theories and Iranian hate towards the state of Israel. Iranian officials have also recently tried to intimidate Washington with threats of retaliation for Iranian general Qassem Soleimani. Soleimani was killed on the 3rd January 2020 in a US-conducted drone strike in Iraq.
In response to the assassination, Iranian-backed militias and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps shelled two American bases in Iraq. Thus a bizarre situation developed where Iranian officials warned the US of Israeli agents plotting to attack US bases in a false flag operation under the auspices of revenge Soleimani’s death. Of course perhaps Iran was hoping to shift blame for their own actual revenge attacks – which don’t appear to have taken place.
Nonetheless, the Iranian government continues to fear a potential Israeli or US attack on its nuclear installations. In a recent statement, Teheran stated its intentions to increase their Uranium enrichment level to 20%.
Any full-scale US strike on this Shia-ruled state would likely be more difficult than some anticipate. Despite its technological disadvantage Iran’s mountainous terrain and large military with a substantial fanatic branch of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard. What remains within the realms of possibility is a combined US-Saudi or US-Israeli kinetic attack with the use of cruise missiles and aircraft on Iran’s nuclear installations. With the clock ticking on the Trump’s presidency any manifestation of the present administration’s sabre rattling have a closing window of opportunity. We can expect the Biden administration to take a firm line with an eye on reinstating the nuclear agreement.